If you’re a home buyer in the Conejo Valley, timing your entry can matter just as much as choosing the right home. National trends suggest mid-October offers a rare alignment of favorable conditions — and local signals are starting to support that narrative. In this post, you’ll learn why October 12–18, 2025 could be your best window to act — plus how to translate national trends into a winning strategy right here in Westlake Village, Thousand Oaks, Agoura Hills, and beyond.

1. What Experts Are Saying: The “Best Week to Buy”

• Realtor.com’s 2025 analysis pins October 12–18 as the top week of the year to buy a home. RISMedia+5Realtor+5Media | Move, Inc.+5

• Their reasoning:

  1. More inventory — listings during that week often rise ~32.6% above levels from the start of the year Investopedia+4Media | Move, Inc.+4Realtor+4

  2. Lower listing prices — average decline of ~3.4% from seasonal peaks (equates to ~$15,000 savings on a median-priced home) HousingWire+4Media | Move, Inc.+4Realtor+4

  3. Reduced buyer competition — property views and bidding activity historically drop by ~30% from peak season levels HousingWire+3Media | Move, Inc.+3Realtor+3

  4. Longer Days on Market & more price cuts — sellers often become more flexible as fall proceeds. Better Homes & Gardens+4Realtor+4Realtor+4

That combination (greater supply + lower prices + weaker competition) is what tilts mid-October into a strategic window for homebuyers in many markets.

But national trends don’t always mirror local ones — so let’s bring this home to Conejo Valley.

2. Conejo Valley Today: What Local Signals Are Saying

🏡 Inventory & Pricing

• In the October 2025 Market Update, ConejoValleyGuy reports that home prices around Westlake Village, Thousand Oaks, Agoura Hills, Newbury Park, and Oak Park have largely held firm in a $1.1 M to $1.2 M range despite rate volatility. Conejo Valley Guy Michael Rice

• The update also mentions that interest rates in 2025 have softened to ~6.4% — among the lowest seen this year. Conejo Valley Guy Michael Rice

🔄 What That Means for Buyers

• Stability in pricing = less risk of steep local price drops

• More favorable rates can amplify buying power

• If inventory begins to surge locally, buyers can gain leverage

It’s worth noting: Conejo Valley hasn’t (publicly) posted a sharp mid-October “spike” in listing volume — but the conditions look like they may soon align. The broader region’s patterns are encouraging.

3. Why Fall 2025 Favors Buyers (Especially Here)

📉 Lessened Competition

Summer home shopping often draws the most pressure. By October, many buyers have bowed out — leaving fewer offers per listing. That reduces “bidding war” risk and gives you more negotiating room.

📈 Fresh Listings + Motivated Sellers

Sellers who held off listing earlier may now try to close before year-end. That means newly listed homes and more price adjustments. In some markets, mid-October sees ~5.5% of homes getting price cuts. HousingWire+3Realtor+3Realtor+3

🧩 Seasonal Equilibrium

Fall is a natural “breather” period. Inventory is still relatively healthy, but buyer urgency has cooled. This can help you avoid rash decisions—move deliberately, but with options.

🔄 Local Rate Sensitivity

Because interest rates have been fluctuating, each drop or stabilization gives you more room. If you’re preapproved and ready, you can act quickly when a good deal pops up.

4. Neighborhoods & Buying Frontiers to Watch

Here are a few targeted zones in Conejo Valley where mid-October conditions may yield value:

Area / NeighborhoodWhat to Watch ForEdge You Can CaptureThousand Oaks (South)Homes slightly above median that need updatesLeverage seller flexibility on repairs or pricingSimi Valley / Moorpark borderMore inventory, lower competitionStretch your budget furtherAgoura Hills / Oak Park hillsidesScenic/less trafficked neighborhoodsUse local agent to find off-market opportunitiesNewbury Park (outer fringes)Larger lot sizes, fewer biddersNegotiate on stretch factors (land, utility, access)

Your local real estate agent (that’s us 😉) can monitor listings in these zones so you’re notified the moment something good hits.

5. What You Should Do This Week (Before Oct 12)

1. Get Mortgage Preapproved Now
   Lock in current best rate offers or at least get solid credit leverage, so when your ideal home appears, you're not scrambling.

2. Set Up Hyperlocal Alerts
   Use tools (Zillow, MLS, local agents) filtered for your preferred neighborhoods and price ranges.

3. Scout Homes in Advance
   Tour homes now, assess pros/cons, and have your shortlist ready — so when Oct 12–18 begins, you can act without delay.

4. Plan Your Offer Strategy
   Think about contingencies, concessions, and response timelines. Know your ceiling price and be ready to pull the trigger.

5. Stay Flexible but Decisive
   Don’t wait for “perfect”—if a strong deal meets your criteria, mid-October is built for decisive buyers.

✅ Final Takeaway

Mid-October 2025 — specifically October 12–18 — is shaping up to be an unusually favorable week for homebuyers nationwide.
Here in Conejo Valley, stable pricing, softened rates, and early signals of increasing inventory make this window worth serious attention. If you're ready to make a move, this could be your sweet spot.

Want us to monitor listings and send you handpicked opportunities exactly when this window opens?
Let Lydia Gable Realty Group be your local ally. I can help you get ready — request our “Fall Buyer’s Launch Plan” and we’ll have you set, alerted, and positioned to seize the moment.